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4.30.25 - 5 Oil Giants Now Settling in Yuan, Not USD

Gold last traded at $3,288 an ounce. Silver at $32.62 an ounce.

Will Gold Ever Hit $4,000 an Ounce? -Investing Haven

The answer to the question, will gold ever reach $4,000 an ounce, seems a bit more obvious now than it did five months ago. The better question might be, why is it going to go to $4,000 an ounce? Read on for the answer.

The prevailing macros have most analysts convinced that gold will eventually breach $4,000.We will tell you when it will likely get here.

Coming into 2025, our analysis indicated that gold had a high chance of hitting $3,000. We expected it to reach this historic price in May.

However, trade war escalations, a weakening US dollar, Trump-Powell tiff, and rate cut threats brought forward gold’s fortunes and helped it climb above $3k in mid-February.

At the time of writing, gold prices have shot to a new all-time high above $3,500 after a meteoric 33% in the first four months of the year.

We have been consistently bullish about gold prices and are of the informed opinion that the gold price will eventually breach the $4,000 mark.

Previously, our analysis showed that gold will likely reach this price level in 2027. However, if the prevailing macroeconomic conditions continue, the rally to $4,000 may come way sooner, most likely late 2026. READ MORE


De-Dollarization: 5 Oil Giants Now Settling in Yuan, Not USD -Watcher Guru

What started as a movement away from the dollar by a few nations is now making its way across the global economy. The most recent move is by nations who are settling their oil purchases in other currencies, rather than dollars; which runs contrary to the OPEC agreement.

by Vladimir Popescu

oil money
{Source: Watcher Guru}
De-dollarization is definitely gaining momentum right now in 2025 as five major oil companies have begun to shift significant portions of their settlements from US dollars to Chinese yuan. This ongoing trend, which is currently being driven by strategic partnerships and also various geopolitical tensions, signals a potential reshaping of the global financial system that has, for many decades, been dominated by the dollar.

The Chinese refiner Sinopec stands as the biggest oil refinery in China and leads the way for yuan payment deals. Sinopec established the important milestone of Saudi Aramco in creating a $4 billion yuan-denominated joint venture during April 2025 while accelerating worldwide de-dollarization initiatives.

According to Reuters:

“Sinopec and its unit shall contribute 7.20 billion yuan and 14.40 billion yuan in cash, respectively. The remaining amount, representing 25% of the registered capital of the joint venture, will come from AAS (Aramco Asia Singapore Pte).” READ MORE


$10,000 Invested In Gold 10 Years Ago Is Now Worth? -Investing Haven

We've all been hearing that now is the time to buy gold. Gold has already experienced tremendous gains. How great were these gains? This article will show you, as well as provide some comparisons to other markets.

What would a $10k investment in the ultimate store of value ten years ago look like today? And what will it look like ten years from now?

On 21st April, gold made history when the price of one ounce of the precious metal set a new all-time high of $3,050. The record price came about one month after gold hit the news for reaching the coveted $3k mark.

Having stormed into 2025 trading at around, gold had one of the most successful first quarter in close to 40 years. And even though its price has slipped back to around $3,287, it still is up by more than 25% in the year to date and 42% in the last 12 months.

Over the last 5 years, the price of gold has appreciated by more than 95% and the period was marked by aggressive value gains.

This has played a key role in propping the 278% gains reported by metal over the last ten years. This implies that if you invested $10,000 in gold ten years ago, this investment would be worth $27,800 at the time of writing. READ MORE

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4.29.25 - Paulson sees gold near $5,000 by 2028

Gold last traded at $3,317 an ounce. Silver at $32.94 an ounce.

EDITOR'S NOTE: A common question those of us in the precious metals business have been asked recently is, "do you think gold is going to go higher?". It seems only natural to answer yes, if for no other reason than natural bias. However, that bias is being supported by several outsiders who seem to have clear perspective as to why the answer is a definite "yes".

Billionaire investor John Paulson sees gold near $5,000 by 2028 -Yahoo! Finance

By Ernest Scheyder

gold (Reuters) - Central bank gold buying and global trade tensions are likely to push bullion prices to near $5,000 an ounce by 2028, billionaire investor John Paulson said in an interview during which he reinforced his commitment to U.S. mining projects

The price forecast is one of the most bullish yet as banks and others move to increase their own estimates after gold hit a record high just above $3,500 last week. Deutsche Bank, for one, expects bullion to hit $3,700 an ounce by next year.

Already the largest shareholder in Idaho gold and antimony developer Perpetua Resources, Paulson last week bought a 40% stake in NovaGold's Donlin gold project in Alaska from Barrick.

Asked where he expects bullion prices to head, Paulson cited a recent estimate put to him for levels at the "high $4,000 range" within three years.

"It's a well-informed prediction. I think that's a reasonable number," Paulson said.

"As central banks and people look to put their money in a more stable source... I think gold will increase its position in the world," he added. READ MORE

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4.28.25 - Global Capital Not Flowing Into the US

Gold last traded at $3,347 an ounce. Silver at $33.16 an ounce.

EDITOR'S NOTE: This is a first, and not a good one. For the first time, global capital is not flowing into the US. Several nations have traded in their positions in US treasuries, and are replacing those positions with gold.

De-Dollarization 2025: For the First Time, Global Capital Not Flowing Into the US -Watcher.Guru

by Vinod Dsouza

money De-dollarization in 2025 is rapidly advancing as the global flow of capital is not flowing into the US economy. China and several other developing countries are offloading US bonds and treasuries and replacing them with gold. While China, Russia, Brazil, South Africa, and India were the usual preparators, European nation Poland has also joined the league. Just recently, Poland purchased 16 tonnes of gold to diversify its assets in the central bank reserves. The accumulation beat China in terms of volume for April making it the biggest purchase of the month.

In addition, Reuters reported that global funds through equities, bonds, and US Treasuries are declining as trade wars loom. A portion of global capital from institutional funds and retail investors is now moving toward other countries, currencies, and bonds. This is for the first time that demand for US financial assets is declining as de-dollarization takes hold in 2025. Heightened tensions over trade wars and tariffs are causing a paradigm shift in how investors think and are moving away from owning US assets.

Unlike previous instances of turbulence in the US economy, this time around and for the first time, global funds are not fully flowing into American assets. “The recent soaring volatility in the US Treasury market marks a watershed event,” said Yang Changjiang, a finance professor at Fudan University. De-dollarization in 2025 is taking shape in different forms and the US needs to address the issue and clip its wings before it starts to completely take off. READ MORE

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4.25.25 - Gold: The Everything Hedge

Gold last traded at $3,318 an ounce. Silver at $33.11 an ounce.

EDITOR'S NOTE: The simplest explanation for gold's stellar performance this year is supply and demand. Everyone - from centrals banks to individual investors - wants it, and there is only so much to go around. Gold's popularity right now stems from its ability to hedge against uncertainty.

Gold: The Everything Hedge -Daily Reckoning

by James Rickards

gold It's a subject we analyze continually, and we have recommended gold as part of a sound investment portfolio for years. Today the dollar price of gold is hovering near all-time highs over $3,300 per ounce.

Gold has been on a tear lately. It was $1,830 as of October 5, 2023. At today's prices, that marks a 75% surge in just 18 months. Gold has outperformed stocks by a wide margin this year, but it has also outperformed stocks for the past twenty-five years. Gold was around $250 per ounce in 1999. The gain since then is 1,180% or almost 12 times the starting price.

This is not the first bull market for gold. In the gold bull market of 1971 to 1980, gold rose 2,185%. In the gold bull market of 1999 to 2011, gold rose 670%. There were notable gold bear markets from 1981 to 1999 and again from 2012 to 2015. There were no bull or bear markets before 1971 because the world was on a gold standard and the price was fixed at $35.00 per ounce from 1944 to 1971. Still, the upward trend in gold prices is relentless and undeniable. Taking the entire period from 1971 until today including bull and bear markets gold has risen over 9,000%. Not bad.

Of course, that's all in the past. What investors want to know is where do we go from here? The short answer is up significantly. READ MORE

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4.24.25 - Are silver prices set for a breakout?

Gold last traded at $3,349 an ounce. Silver at $33.58 an ounce.

EDITOR'S NOTE: Gold has comfortably risen above the $3,000 mark; but what about silver? It's believed by many that silver will soon experience a major breakout of its own. Read on to learn the fundamentals behind these predictions.

Are silver prices set for a breakout? -Investing.com

by Vahid Karaahmetovic

silver Silver may be setting up for a breakout, according to Sevens Report’s Tom Essaye, who highlights a rare divergence between gold and silver pricing that could soon correct in favor of the latter.

While gold continues to dominate headlines with new record highs above $3,000 an ounce, silver has quietly posted a 16% gain year-to-date. Yet, relative to gold’s 25% surge, it appears undervalued.

“The Gold-to-Silver Ratio (GSR) is a simple and compelling measure with historical significance. It tells you how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold. Today, that number is around 100:1,” Essaye said in a Thursday report.

“Typically, it runs between 40:1 and 60:1, and it doesn’t get above 100 very often,” he added.

Historically, such stretched ratios have been followed by silver outperformance as the metals revert to their long-term pricing relationship.

Silver’s appeal extends beyond technical signals. Unlike gold, which is driven primarily by monetary and geopolitical fears, silver carries dual demand from both investors and industry. READ MORE

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4.23.25 - Silver: The Catch-Up King

Gold last traded at $3,279 an ounce. Silver at $33.58 an ounce.

Triple Threat to U.S. Markets: Stocks, Bonds, and U.S. Dollar Dive -Watcher.Guru

The US markets have been battling for positive territory all year. The factors that continue to batter and bruise the markets are likely not going away soon. This author points to the triple threat causing it. In reality, there are more than three factors, but these are on the top.

by Loredana Harsana

The U.S. markets crisis has intensified this week as stocks, bonds, and the U.S. dollar are all simultaneously plunging. This triple threat traces directly to policy choices made by the Trump administration, creating some unprecedented challenges for investors right now.

The bond yield surge has reached pretty alarming levels on April 21, with 20-year bonds exceeding 4.9% at the time of writing. This bond yield surge reflects growing concerns about Trump’s proposed $4.5 trillion tax cuts and also the already historic $1.3 trillion budget deficit that’s been accumulating. The U.S. markets crisis has investors piling into short-term debt while selling off long-term Treasuries.

Trump’s tax cuts proposal from 2025 has Republican lawmakers already drafting legislation despite some serious questions about funding. With national debt standing at a staggering $36.6 trillion right now, Trump’s tax cuts plan could simply worsen the U.S. markets crisis if international investors start to demand higher risk premiums. READ MORE


Silver's History: The Catch-Up King -Daily Reckoning

Gold has been dominating the financial news this year, but what about silver? Silver has been quietly moving higher - comparatively speaking - and it may realize even bigger gains in the near future. See why silver has historically been considered "the catch-up king".

by Kevin Bambrough

silver Gold may be the crown jewel of precious metals, rising during economic uncertainty, but silver has repeatedly proven itself to be the underdog ready to take the throne. History reveals a compelling trend where silver, initially lagging behind gold during its surges, catches up with dramatic flair, often delivering returns 2 to 5 times greater.

For investors seeking both safety and explosive potential, the current market conditions suggest silver might be poised for another dazzling comeback.

Gold has been on an epic run driven by central bank buying and a rush to safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. These factors have pushed the gold-silver ratio to extreme levels. Yet, as history shows time and time again, this widening ratio is often the signal for silver’s next big act. READ MORE


US Dollar Is On A Deathbed: Here’s Why -Watcher.Guru

The dollar is in trouble. We hear it and we experience it. Now some believe the dollar is on its death bed. It's already down 10% for the year, and the worst may be yet to come.

by Juhi Mirza

The currency dynamics are now evolving at a rapid pace, with the US dollar standing at a precarious global threshold. President Donald Trump has declared a tariff war against nations, levying heavy tariffs on nations to bolster the US economy. This development has led the US dollar to suffer great volatility. At the same time, new markers have emerged that are indicative that more USD volatility is already underway.

The US dollar is currently on the losing side, with other assets emerging victorious amid the recent market downturn. The rise of gold and Bitcoin as major league assets is delivering a clear signal, highlighting how dollar volatility may haunt the currency in the long run.

Gold has hit a new high amid the recent market pressure, hitting its 55th ATH, crossing beyond $3500 for the first time in history. At the same time, Bitcoin is also rising high, with investor sentiment pivoting towards BTC, often being touted as digital gold. These two assets have been emerging as the latest safe haven options as the US continues to battle increased capital outflows triggered by ongoing tariff tensions spurred by President Donald Trump. READ MORE

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4.22.25 - Gold Hits Historic Milestone of $3,500

Gold last traded at $3,379 an ounce. Silver at $32.48 an ounce.

EDITOR'S NOTE: At the risk of sounding like a broken record, gold has reached a new high...again! Gold has risen above the $3,500 mark and is expected to continue this trend for quite a while. Many analysts are calling for very aggressive, upward movement through 2026; which is a long runway for growth. Call us today to learn how you can buy gold, and take advantage of this opportunity of a lifetime.

Gold Hits Historic Milestone of $3,500 Per Ounce -Watcher.Guru

by Vinod Dsouza

goldfinger Gold prices hit a historic high of $3,500 per ounce on Tuesday and reached the milestone much sooner than expected. The precious metal has surged nearly 34% year-to-date and is among the top-performing assets in the broader financial markets. It entered 2025 trading at $2,640 and touched a high of $3,500 in less than four months in the charts.

The massive price rise can be attributed to the large accumulation of the precious metal by all forms of investors. Retail traders, institutional funds, and central banks of developing countries have been relentlessly accumulating gold since 2022. Countries such as China, India, Brazil, South Africa, and Russia have purchased tonnes worth of gold in the last three years.

Senior Commodity Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone predicted in a recent interview that gold will hit $4,000 next. He explained that the precious metal has a solid foundation at $3,000 and might never dip below that price range. He revealed that the glittery metal will only go up from here as Trump’s trade wars have solidified the XAU/USD index.

“We’re putting in a pretty good base now around $3,000,” McGlone said. “It’s going to head into $4,000, the question is time. Anything in between there is for the traders, which I used to do.” If gold prices hit $4,000, it would have surged a staggering 14.5% from its current price of $3,500.

McGlone was the first analyst to predict in 2023 that gold prices would breach the $3,000 mark. All his forecasts have turned accurate and the $4,000 prediction might also turn true. The XAU/USD index is attracting heavy bullish sentiments with an influx of funds from all corners. The uncertainty of trade and tariffs by US President Donald Trump has made traders take entry into the precious metal. READ MORE

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4.21.25 - US Dollar Crashes 10% YTD

Gold last traded at $3,424 an ounce. Silver at $32.69 an ounce.

EDITOR'S NOTE: The US dollar could be collapsing before our very eyes. As gold prices continue to rally, the dollar is dropping like a rock; and it doesn't look like the situation will improve any time soon. Diversification into gold has never been more critical for investors.

USD Collapse: US Dollar Crashes 10% YTD, Gold Prices Reach Near $3,400 -Watcher.Guru

by Vinod Dsouza

pigs The year 2025 has to be the worst time for the US dollar and the best for gold prices. The DXY index, which tracks the performance of the USD shows the currency trading at the 98.3 level on Monday’s opening bell. It has dipped nearly 10% year-to-date and is attracting heavy bearish sentiments in the charts. It started the year at a high of 109.25 but relentlessly dipped in the indices in the last four months.

Commodity traders are losing confidence in the US dollar and relying on gold instead, as it has been the most sought-after asset since 2022. Gold prices have surged nearly 29% year-to-date, entering 2025 trading at $2,660. Its price reached a high of $3,385 on Monday’s opening bell and surged close to 1.5%, rising nearly 50 points.

While gold prices display extreme bullish sentiments, the US dollar is seeing harsh bearish conditions. The two leading assets are two poles apart with one generating stellar returns while the other printing massive losses. The USD’s decline comes as a shock as currency investors were bullish on its prospects in 2025. READ MORE

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4.17.25 - U.S. Dollar Sees Worst Drop in 50 Yrs

Gold last traded at $3,321 an ounce. Silver at $32.47 an ounce.

EDITOR'S NOTE: We've been hearing for some time now about the trouble the US dollar is in, but how bad is it? The worst it's been in 50 years. The dumping of dollars by countries across the globe is creating tremendous concern, and a real threat to the future of the US dollar.

Scope Issues Downgrade Alert as U.S. Dollar Sees Worst Drop in 50 Yrs -Watcher.Guru

by Loredana Harsana

{Source: LSEG Datastream}
Scope’s U.S. dollar downgrade warning has actually rattled global markets as America’s currency is suffering its worst decline in 50 years. European rating agency Scope has indicated that the U.S. could face credit downgrades amid growing trade tensions and also rising currency risk. The dollar has fallen by around 8.2% against major currencies this year, which is prompting some serious concerns about U.S. economy recession possibilities and, well, the future of dollar dominance in general.

Berlin-based Scope, which is used alongside S&P Global, Moody’s and Fitch by the European Central Bank, currently rates the U.S. at AA with a “negative” outlook. This rating actually sits below the AA+ scores from S&P and Fitch, while Moody’s remains the only major agency still giving America a top-grade “triple A.”

Scope’s head of sovereign ratings, Alvise Lennkh-Yunus, stated:

“If doubts about the exceptional status of the dollar were to increase, this would be very credit negative for the U.S.” READ MORE

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4.16.25 - Will Market Plunge 50% when Tariffs Resume?

Gold last traded at $3,354 an ounce. Silver at $32.90 an ounce.

Tech Bros vs. Gold Bugs -Daily Reckoning

Tech vs. gold may seem like a strange comparison, and yet it proves to be a very interesting association. Long story short, precious metals are now the safest place to invest. This is a time to buy the pullbacks, and hunker down in stable assets, while the next decade plays out.

by Adam Sharp

For the past few years, the world has been infected with a common strain of tech stock fever.

Symptoms include buying stocks at 50x revenue, chasing a handful of big names to ridiculous prices, and believing the bull market can last forever.

This particular strain of tech mania has been around for centuries:

  • Railway mania, England 1840s, U.S. 1860 – 1870s
  • Electricity and telephone boom, U.S. 1880 – 1900
  • Internet boom and bubble, U.S. 1990 – 2000

Technological innovations change, but human behavior never does. It starts out with real tech breakthroughs, and evolves into a raging out-of-control mania. Only the strongest companies survive, and even those almost always crash hard towards the end of the bull market.

The current bubble in tech stock prices has gotten so extreme, that the so-called Magnificent 7 (Apple, Nvidia, Alphabet, Meta, Tesla, Microsoft, and Amazon) were, near the peak, worth a remarkable 62% of U.S. GDP. READ MORE


US Stock Market Could Plunge 50% After Tariffs Resume -Watcher.Guru

Tariff policy continues to plague the stock market, and it appears it will most assuredly get worse. The recent recovery is merely a moment in a recession that may take years to recover from.

by Vinod Dsouza

bull The US stock market experienced a major crash in early April after Trump announced tariffs on 185 countries. Dow Jones and Nasdaq plunged close to 2,000 points after Liberation Day wiping $2.85 trillion worth of wealth. The heat of the market crash reached the White House and President Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs. The markets recovered after the tariff pause making leading stocks briefly surge in value.

Leading economist and financial author Harry Dent said there’s no need to cheer about the recent recovery. He warned investors that taking an entry position now, believing that the storm has weathered, will only bring doom. The analyst predicted that the US stock market could crash another 30% to 50% once tariffs resume in July.

“This first crash takes us down into the summer 50% from the top on the NASDAQ and QQQ NASDAQ 100 and 40% on the S&P 500,” said Dent in a recent interview with David Lin. “It makes sense to sit through most (US stock market) corrections. This is not one of them, and we’ve got a bounce here where you can get out and at least be cautious in the summer. But, corrections and crashes like this tend to take at least two years and more like three years to play out, like 1929 to 1932, 2000 to 2002, the first tech bubble.”

He added that recessions are a healthy way of cleaning the US stock market to pave the way for the next bull run. Dent cautioned that entering a stock before bottoming out could be disastrous. “The economy has to have recessions to clean things out, and we haven’t had one. I don’t count COVID, it was a few weeks, it was a minor thing, it was artificial. We haven’t had a recession to do this in 16 years, the longest time in history,” he summed it up. READ MORE


Gold Surges to $3,317.90 as Central Banks Dump Dollars – $3900 In 3 Months? -Watcher. Guru

More dollar dumping by central banks is part of the fuel responsible for gold's recent historical increases. The trend of dumping dollars is certainly not isolated to the central banks, but they are definitely at the forefront of the effort.

by Vladimir Popescu

Gold prices surge to an unprecedented $3,317.90 per ounce this week as central banks accelerate dollar dumping and global unrest intensifies. This remarkable climb in the commodity market strengthens gold’s safe haven appeal amid mounting tensions.

Gold prices surge following U.S. President Donald Trump’s order for an investigation into potential tariffs on critical mineral imports. This move, targeting China, has sparked investor flight to safe haven assets.

Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, stated:

“Trump’s trade war shows no signs of easing after the President ordered a probe into critical minerals, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, sparking a fresh move towards safe havens and out of stocks.” READ MORE

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