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1.17.25 - America's Rapidly Growing Retirement Crisis
Gold last traded at $2,702 an ounce. Silver at $30.35 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: The current state of our economy has created a retirement crisis. A crisis which has long been predicted, but now has aggravating factors. The facts and figures in this article provide an in-depth look at exactly what it means.
18 Incredible Statistics About America's Rapidly Growing Retirement Crisis That Will Blow Your Mind -ZeroHedge
Authored by Michael Snyder via The End of The American Dream blog
We are facing an unprecedented retirement crisis in this nation. Millions upon millions of Baby Boomers are retiring, and most of them are struggling. In fact, it has been estimated that 80 percent of our retirees are either struggling right now or are in serious danger of falling into financial insecurity. We are supposed to be the economic powerhouse of the world. How could we have allowed this to happen?
There are several reasons why our retirement crisis has become so severe.
First of all, people are living significantly longer than they did decades ago, and so retirees need more money these days.Secondly, most retirees did not save enough for retirement, and many of them entered their retirement years carrying high levels of debt.
Thirdly, healthcare costs are completely and utterly out of control in this country. We desperately need to do something about this.
Fourthly, high inflation has made the cost of living extremely oppressive.
Fifthly, pension plans are less common then they once were, and so more retirees than ever are depending upon Social Security as their primary source of income.
When you step back and consider the big picture, it is clear that we have a major problem on our hands, and there are no easy solutions. READ MORE
1.16.25 - BRICS & US Standoff to Send Oil Prices Skyrocketing
Gold last traded at $2,715 an ounce. Silver at $30.82 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: Sparks are beginning to fly between BRICS & the US, and it looks like oil is catching on fire as a result. Oil prices will surge as the the two competing entities clash. This is likely the first of several battles we will see as the tensions build.
BRICS & US Standoff to Send Oil Prices Skyrocketing: Goldman Sachs Says -Watcher.Guru
by Joshua Ramos
With both the BRICS economic alliance and the US engaged in a standoff, Goldman Sachs has warned that the geopolitical tension could send oil prices skyrocketing. Indeed, the presence of sanctions and de-dollarization efforts could erupt into greater economic difficulty on a global scale.
US President-elect Donald Trump has not minced words regarding his feelings toward the BRICS bloc. He warned the alliance of incoming tariffs in retaliation for its efforts to abandon the US dollar as the world’s currency. Now, the bloc is facing the ongoing warning as it looks to continue navigating the presence of sanctions.
The past two years have seen the BRICS economic alliance target increased use of the US dollar. Specifically, they have called on the global south to initiate a continued effort to promote the use of local currencies. Therefore, the work would lessen the international presence of the greenback.
Although alliance nations have complied, it has failed to take hold the way the collective had hoped. Now, all eyes are on what should be critical in 2025. With Donald Trump not content to embrace Joe Biden’s willingness to overlook the bloc’s activity, he is likely to take action. According to Goldman Sachs, the world may pay the price, as the BRICS and US standoff could drive oil prices higher. READ MORE
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1.15.25 - Gold and Silver - 2025's Bullish Signals
Gold last traded at $2,695 an ounce. Silver at $30.71 an ounce.
A Gold Price Prediction for 2025 2026 2027 – 2030 -Investing Haven
Gold saw several favorable predictions at the beginning of 2024, and delivered quite nicely. The yellow metal started the year around $2,000 an ounce and finished the year over $2,600. The next few years may see similar appreciation.
Our gold price prediction for the coming years remains firmly bullish. Some periods of weakness characterized by gold price pullbacks can be expected. Gold price targets: $3,275 in 2025, near $3,800 in 2026, peak gold price prediction of $5,150 by 2030.
The summary of our gold price prediction is presented the first section of this article. The remainder of this article provides a deep understanding of the true dynamics driving the gold price.
We start with a quick summary of our gold price prediction and continue presenting the extensive research of how we got to these gold price predictions.
1. Gold price forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027, 2030
This is the outcome of our gold price prediction analysis outlined in the remainder of this article.
2025: max gold price right above $3,275.
2026: max gold price around $3,800.
2027: max gold price around $4,400.
2030: peak gold price prediction $5,050.
The ranges indicated in this summary are estimates produced by InvestingHaven’s research, based on current and predicted intermarket trends and secular gold charts. READ MORE
Silver: This Beautiful Failed Breakdown May Be A Bullish Signal For 2025 -Investing Haven
2025 may also be a breakout year for silver. Some may have lost heart with the recent pullbacks, but this could be a signaling of its next upward move. The fundamentals are certainly in place for tremendous appreciation.
Silver broke down on December 18th. It recovered on January 9th, 2025, exactly after 13 trading days, a Fibonacci number. Silver’s failed breakdown is inherently bullish.
In this article, we focus on the silver chart. We combine time and price analysis.
In doing so, we find that silver’s recent weakness coincided with a failed breakdown, invalidated on Thursday, January 9th, 2025.
That’s potentially great news for silver investors, as silver’s failed breakdown has a legacy of leading to selling exhaustion by creating a turning point.
Silver’s failed breakdown – price
We look at the price axis of the silver chart.
The 2024 rising trendline was violated on December 18th, 2024.
The FOMC press conference combined with the rate cut decision pushed the price of silver strongly lower.
In doing so, the rising trendline got broken down.
Strictly looking at price, silver is now in a long term consolidation, below the rising trend (still flat). READ MORE
A global bond sell-off is deepening as investors pare Fed rate-cut expectations -CNBC
The Fed continues to lose ground - as well as favor - in the investment world, and their losses are accelerating. The US has its work cut out for itself when it comes to regaining strength, in the midst of the tsunami of debt.
by Lee Ying Shan
A sell-off in global bond markets is accelerating, fueling concerns over government finances and raising the specter of higher borrowing costs for consumers and businesses around the world.
Bond yields have mostly been rising globally with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield touching a fresh 14-month high of 4.799% on Monday, as investors reassess the pace at which the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates.
In the UK, the 30-year gilt yields are hovering at their highest level since 1998, and the country’s 10-year yield recently hit levels not seen since 2008.
Japan, which has been striving to normalize its monetary policy after ending its negative interest rates regime early last year, has seen its 10-year government bond yield rise over 1%, hitting its highest in 13 years on Tuesday, LSEG data showed.
In Asia-Pacific, India’s 10-year bond yields rose the most in over a month on Monday and are near 2-month highs at 6.846%. Yields on New Zealand and Australia’s 10-year benchmark government bonds were also near two-month highs. READ MORE
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1.14.25 - Gold vs Interest Rates
Gold last traded at $2,676 an ounce. Silver at $29.91 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: With economies the world over in turmoil, more and more nations - and central banks - are turning back to gold; and looking to make gold the reserve currency of choice. As Mr. Sharp puts it, "Gold is apolitical. As long as it's in a vault within a country's own borders, there's really no safer asset one can own. It is the ultimate sovereign form of money." This could mark the beginning of the resurgence of one of the most time-honored assets on earth.
My Favorite Way to Play Gold’s Rise -Daily Reckoning
by Adam Sharp
The past few years have been unusual for gold and interest rates.
Both have ripped higher together.
Historically, these two are often inversely correlated, meaning when the bond yields are high, gold is weak. And vice versa. But no longer.
The chart shows the price of gold vs. U.S. real interest rates (10y bond yield minus inflation expectations).
As you can see, the two traded inversely up until 2022. When yields rose, gold fell. When yields fell, gold rose.
The old paradigm made sense. When real yields on bonds are high, more investors will switch out of gold and into Treasuries. When yields are low, gold becomes more attractive as a way to preserve purchasing power.
So why did this relationship change beginning in 2022?
Well, there was that minor incident where the U.S. confiscated $300 billion of Russian central bank assets. Remember that? It was part of Uncle Sam’s punishment package after Russia invaded Ukraine.
Surely that couldn’t be related. Right? VIEW CHART AND READ MORE
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1.13.25 - Gold Is Targeting A Solid $3200 Price Spot
Gold last traded at $2,659 an ounce. Silver at $29.60 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: Will gold crest over $3000 in the near-term? Rashad Hajiyev seems to think so. The fundamentals are in place for another historic rise. Call us today to shore up your portfolio with gold; some sizeable profits could be ahead.
Gold Is Targeting A Solid $3200 Price Spot: Here’s When It Can Claim It? -Watcher.Guru
by Juhi Mirza
Gold is currently putting all its efforts into breaking beyond the $2665 price mark. The current positioning of XAU is met with intense resistance, disabling the asset from breaking new boundaries. In this wake, Gold is also eyeing a new possible target, which could help XAU claim new price highs. Here’s how gold could hit $3200 in the near future.
Per Rashad Hajiyev, a notable asset analyst, Gold is already surging ahead, targeting a new price spot, a rather ambitious one in a new attempt. The expert clarified how Gold is putting all its efforts into breaking the $2665 price level that it’s currently in. Once it moves behind the aforementioned price spot, the asset could catapult to new highs, as the expert cautiously remarked.
Gold has been trying hard to overcome $2,665 level for the past week. Once it breaks out there is no turning back…
— Rashad Hajiyev (@hajiyev_rashad) January 9, 2025
Similarly, Hajiyev later clarified how XAU is already on the verge of hitting $3200 but may ultimately find some pressure when it comes to claiming the $2690 price level.
Looks like silver is making its move. Gold will find resistance just under $2,690. Overall looking good, pity US stock market closed…
— Rashad Hajiyev (@hajiyev_rashad) January 9, 2025
Once the said level breaks, gold may hit a new price spot of $3200, rallying 19% in the process. READ MORE
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1.10.25 - Why investors are still buying gold
Gold last traded at $2,690 an ounce. Silver at $30.41 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: Investors are catching on to what the central bankers have known for years: when the US is in turmoil, buy gold. Gold is rising despite the headwinds against it. All the more reason to stake your claim now.
Why investors are still buying gold despite a strong dollar and rising Treasury yields -MarketWatch
By Myra P. Saefong
Gold futures are trading 1.8% higher so far in the new year.
Gold prices settled Thursday at their highest level in four weeks, defying their usual inverse relationship with strength in the U.S. dollar and gains in Treasury yields, as fiscal worries prompt investors seek out safe-haven assets.
"Dollar strength, rising Treasury yields and a rising gold price are all evidence of global concerns with the U.S. fiscal situation," Brien Lundin, editor at Gold Newsletter, told MarketWatch. "The 'bond vigilantes' are demanding higher returns in light of the risk that Treasurys represent, with the U.S. debt and deficits at such elevated levels relative to GDP."
"The dizzying rise in the 10-year Treasury yield began with the [Federal Reserve's] rate cuts, and that's not coincidental," Lundin said. "The fact that the Fed may be losing some control over rates is in itself concerning, and is also adding fuel to the rise in yields."
Meanwhile, despite U.S. fiscal concerns, the dollar is strengthening because it "represents a safe haven in times of trouble, and also because of those higher yields," Lundin said. READ MORE
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1.9.25 - BRICS to Keep Ditching the US Dollar
Gold last traded at $2,670 an ounce. Silver at $30.11 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: The fight against de-dollarization is likely to be one of the Trump administration's top priorities. Despite the threats of tariffs, several BRICS countries are going full steam ahead in their efforts to supplant the dollar. Although, some member nations have expressed a desire to work with Trump. It will be interesting to watch this unfold in the early months of the Trump White House.
BRICS to Keep Ditching the US Dollar in 2025: Alliance Confirms -Watcher.Guru
by Joshua Ramos
On the heels of immense threats from the West and geopolitical concerns brewing, the BRICS economic alliance appears to remain steadfast in its commitment to ditching the US dollar in 2025. Indeed, the collective has seemingly confirmed the matter, as recent discussion pointed to their belief in de-dollarization as a certain necessity.
US President-elect Donald Trump has been outspoken in his defense of the greenback. Throughout this campaign for reelection, he continually reiterated the importance of keeping the dollar as the world’s currency. After his victory, he issued a warning to BRICS specifically, threatening 100% tariffs on the bloc seeking to create their own dollar alternative.
The last year has seen the BRICS economic alliance continue their notable ascent. Once just a five-nation collective, the group phase doubled in size with its most recent expansion. Moreover, it has big plans for the global economic market that have seen the West take an undeniably favorable stance.
Although Trump has warned of impending repercussions, the BRICS bloc has reiterated that they are likely to keep ditching the US dollar in 2025 through a recent confirmation. Indeed, the group discussed the reality that de-dollarization is a necessity so long as the United States continues doing one thing. READ MORE
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1.8.25 - Dollar's Share Of Global Reserves Hits 30-Year-Low
Gold last traded at $2,661 an ounce. Silver at $30.11 an ounce.
US Trade Deficit Widens on Largest Jump in Imports Since 2022 -Yahoo! Finance
As we get ready to swear in President-Elect Trump in a few weeks, he has made it very clear that trade - and our trade deficits - is at the top of his list. This will likely be no small feat as that deficit has seen a large widening recently.
(Bloomberg) -- The US trade deficit widened in November, reflecting the biggest jump in imports since March 2022 as companies accelerated shipments ahead of a possible dockworkers’ strike and in anticipation of potential tariffs by the Trump administration.
The gap in goods and services trade grew 6.2% from the prior month to $78.2 billion, Commerce Department data showed Tuesday. The figure was in line with the median projection of economists in a Bloomberg survey.
The value of imports increased 3.4% from a month earlier to $351.6 billion. Exports rose 2.7%. The figures aren’t adjusted for inflation.
The jump in imports was broad, including increases in consumer goods, capital equipment and motor vehicles, likely reflecting a preference by US companies to secure shipments in advance of potential tariffs. Moreover, many are hoping to mitigate disruptions from a potential strike by dockworkers with a mid-January deadline to reach a deal.
The figures follow an October downshift in demand for foreign merchandise after companies doubled up efforts to ensure they were well-stocked ahead of holiday-shopping season.
Goods and services trade in the third quarter subtracted from gross domestic product, and the latest net exports figures suggest a similar impact is possible in the final three-month period of 2024. READ MORE
Dollar's Share Of Global Reserves Hits 30-Year-Low As Central Banks Pile Into Gold, Alternates -Zero Hedge
The dollar has been steadily losing ground in the global marketplace, over the last few years in particular, and it doesn't appear the downward slide is even close to over. As gold, and other alternatives, offer a better option to the dollar; our currency becomes more at risk by the day.
by Wolf Richter via WolfStreet.com
The US dollar lost further ground as global reserve currency among many reserve currencies held by central banks. Its share has been zigzagging lower for many years as central banks have been diversifying their holdings to assets denominated in currencies other than the dollar. And they’ve also been diversifying into gold. But the dollar remains by far the dominant global reserve currency.
The share of USD-denominated foreign exchange reserves fell to 57.4% of total exchange reserves the lowest since 1994, according to the IMF’s COFER data for Q3 2024. USD-denominated foreign exchange reserves include US Treasury securities, US agency securities, US MBS, US corporate bonds, US stocks, and other USD-denominated assets held by central banks other than the Fed.
In Q1 2015, the USD’s share was still 66%. Over these 10 years, the dollar’s share of global reserve currencies has dropped by 8.6 percentage points. If this pace of decline continues, the dollar’s share will fall below 50% in less than 10 years, by the end of 2034.
The dollar’s share had already been below 50% in 1990 and 1991, at the final leg of its long plunge from a share of 85% in 1977 to 46% in 1991, after inflation had exploded in the US in the 1970s, and eventually the world lost confidence in the Fed’s ability or willingness to get this inflation under control.
But by the 1990s, central banks loaded up on dollar-assets again, until the euro came along. This chart shows the dollar’s share at the end of each year (2024 = Q3). VIEW CHARTS AND READ MORE
The Age Of Debt And Monetary Destruction -Daniel Lacalle
Spending and debt have been the cornerstones of growth and expansion in our economy, but how long can this method continue before it becomes untenable? Some say not much longer, as the "bubble" is getting ready to burst.
by Daniel Lacalle
If you want to really understand the current monetary system and the risks and opportunities it creates, you must read “The Age of Debt Bubbles“. This is a comprehensive, informed, and thorough analysis of the current global monetary system.
Debt bloats the global economy. Spending and debt, rather than savings and prudent investment, form the foundation of economic development.
This debt-based system, where sovereign debt is allegedly the safest asset and governments continue to stretch their solvency ratios, is constantly generating boom and bust cycles. Through a meticulous examination of historical data and trends, this book analyses the risks posed by the ever-expanding debt bubbles.
The book explains that debt has become a pervasive and inescapable feature of modern economies. The relentless pursuit of growth and profit with little equity involved has driven individuals, corporations, and governments to take on increasingly larger amounts of risk through indebtedness in exchange for lower returns, creating a fragile house of cards that is the root of all financial crises.
The Era of Increasing Debt Bubbles and Economic Instability: “An In-depth Analysis of Debt Crises, Asset Bubbles, and the Role of Monetary Policy” offers a thorough and exhaustive exploration of contemporary monetary policy, debt-fueled bubbles, and the economic consequences they entail. READ MORE
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1.7.25 - Will the stock-market boom end in 2025?
Gold last traded at $2,648 an ounce. Silver at $30.08 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: The stock market cruised through the holidays - and into the new year - on a high note, but will that momentum continue? According to some, the stellar performance of the market is "unsustainable".
America's stock-market boom will end in 2025 as markets punish the US for its yawning deficits, Rockefeller chairman says -Yahoo! Finance
by Jennifer Sor
The market expert Ruchir Sharma says that the stock market's momentum looks likely to sputter in 2025 and that it could falter as investors grow wary of the US's mounting debt problems.
In an op-ed article for the Financial Times published on Monday, the Rockefeller International chairman said he believed the US stock market could soon underperform global peers, breaking a long-running trend of US outperformance.
He estimated that over the next year the top stocks in the US could underperform the global market by about 10% — reflecting a much worse performance than in 2024, when the top US stocks outperformed the market by about 20%.
"Momentum investing looks poised to crash in a way that could hit many investors hard," Sharma wrote.
Speaking to CNBC later on Monday, Sharma pointed to signs that the trend of US outperformance looked unsustainable.
For one, valuations in the US remain high, but sentiment is more bullish compared with other areas of the world.
The US economy makes up about 30% of the global economy, but US stocks make up about 70% of the global equity market, Sharma said. Still, nearly all investors expect the US to keep outperforming the rest of the world. READ MORE
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1.6.25 - 2025: The Year of $3K Gold
Gold last traded at $2,633 an ounce. Silver at $29.93 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: Could 2025 be the big, breakout year for gold? Dozens of market watchers have said they believe gold is headed to $3,000-plus in value. For protection, diversification, and profit; now is the time to balance your portfolio with precious metals.
2025: The Year of $3K Gold -Daily Reckoning
by Zach Scheidt
Investors are eyeing gold very carefully right now. And it’s not hard to see why.
As you can see from the chart below, the yellow metal had a great year…
Long-time readers will know that I’ve been bullish on gold for a while.
Many investors have been flocking to gold in the last few years — and for good reason. It’s a great diversifier, it protects against inflation, and it’s a safe-haven asset when things go awry.
All of these things have led to a rise in gold demand and, subsequently, a run-up in gold prices. In fact, the average price of gold reached record highs several times this year — surpassing $2,700 by October.
Gold prices have been a bit more volatile, following Trump’s inauguration. But now that investors have had time to adjust to Trump’s win and a Republican sweep of the House and Senate, gold appears to be ready for its next leg higher.
I’ve had my eye on a price target of $3,000 per ounce since 2021.
And the post-election gold pullback is a good time to look at miners before it finally takes on $3k.
But first, let’s look at how gold reacted to Trump’s victory… VIEW CHARTS AND READ MORE
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1.3.25 - Can The Silver Price Rise To $100?
Gold last traded at $2,651 an ounce. Silver at $30.09 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: We now find ourselves starting our charge into the new year. New goals, new dreams, maybe even some new beginnings. One of the things everyone should be looking at this year is adding more silver to their portfolio. Once you read this report, you'll see why.
Can The Silver Price Rise To $100? -Investing Haven
In particular, silver might rise to $100 /oz in the timeframe 2027-2028.
Silver requires either exceptional market conditions like rising inflation or an extreme shortage in order to rise to $100 /oz which might not be its endpoint once it clears ATH at $50.
In this article, we analyze the long term silver charts in order to understand if a silver rise to $100 an Ounce is a feasible path. Particularly, we look at:
*Long term silver chart dynamics.
*Silver charts factoring in CPI impact.
*Potential catalysts to trigger a silver rally to $100.
*Intermarket correlations.
Our latest silver prediction is based on historical data, market correlations and chart readings. It’s a data driven way to analyze precious metals.
Note – the analyst team at InvestingHaven.com is unbiased. No silver perma-bulls over here.
An important quote from the article mentioned above:
To be honest, our viewpoint is that all conditions are in place for silver to run to its two higher targets: $34 and $50. The question why silver is not trading at those levels is a good question to ask. The ‘silver manipulation’ theme comes up as an answer. Concurrently, the other answer that comes up is ‘opportunity’: if an asset is undervalued, it usually is a matter of time until a rebalancing act occurs.
With that said, we will take a big picture viewpoint in this article. While the points outlined above are relevant in 2024 and 2025, we think in terms of “how high can silver go this decade” in this article.
Remember, a silver price rise to to $100 an ounce is not an idea that will materialize in 2025. If silver were to rise to $100, it would mark a secular top which is likely to happen late(r) this decade. VIEW FULL REPORT AND LINKED ARTICLES
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