
Yet some "gurus" say the gold bull market is over?!
By Pat Mershon, Sr. Bullion Trader, SAPS
June 13, 2006
Why did gold prices fall over 7% in one day?
I haven't read it anywhere yet, but my guess is some very large precious
metal producers have resumed hedging their future production. And why not!
Prices look better than two or three years ago when they stopped hedging.
The floor traders seeing this, most likely started pushing the short side
which in turn kicks in the large momentum sell programs. Oil getting stepped
on did not help matters.
This either sets up a great buying opportunity, or a state of massive confusion
for brokers and clients. It could be considerable time before the metals make
new highs. Thus gold investors must have a firm grasp of the market fundamentals.
I believe nothing has changed that really mattered before; Bad dollar management
and policies, bad economics (pro-inflation), War costs, welfare, disaster relief
and of course, the debt-hungry U.S. consumer/non-producer.
Oil will most likely remain higher than it was on 9/11 and will tend to
move higher given any real opportunity -- that is until Jews, Muslims and Christians
finally unite under a single, peace-loving religion (never going to happen)!
Embracing Volatility
No matter WHAT triggered this opportunity, clients and brokers should treat it
as a long-term BUYING opportunity -- until something long-term and meaningful enough
to fundamentally change world economics and politics occurs.
The future of almost all investments may be riddled with wild price-swings, over
a long or relatively short periods of time. No one will know until they're looking
back in hindsight.
Sadly, for most investors then it will be too late. Most will stand on the sidelines in
cash, or an existing investment and do nothing -- frighten by the very price swings which
are in reality their second chance and big opportunity to get on board the bull market!
It appears the end game is a race by all producing-consuming countries of the world
to devalue their currency enough to get an import-export edge over each other. The
people who ultimately pay the price are those that don't position themselves correctly,
somewhere out of cash.
As George Soros told CNBC this week ... "Cash (not in dollars) is King." In other words,
"cash" no longer means U.S. dollars, it now means liquid assets which hold value over
time (like some foreign currencies). But wait. It sounds to me like he's referring to gold.
Yes. I can see it: Gold is the new King of currencies! Long live the King!
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