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6.17.26 - Gold, gold, and more gold
Gold last traded at $4,259 an ounce. Silver at $67.90 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: Gold, gold, and more gold. That is the message of the day.
This is not a drill, ladies and gentlemen—the time to own gold is now. I’ve been writing about this for years, and increasingly the banks appear to understand what many investors are beginning to recognize: in a world of fractured fiat currencies and growing financial uncertainty, physical gold has historically been viewed as one of the most durable stores of value during major monetary transitions.
If you haven’t already contacted our office to learn how physical precious metals may fit into your diversification strategy, I encourage you to do so today.
And while supplies last, call to take advantage of our attractively priced, limited-time offer featuring one of the most iconic and storied coins in American history — the $5 Indian Gold Half Eagle.
-Dean
This Will Cause The Price Of Gold To Surge For The Next 12 Months -King World News
Peter Boockvar: Yesterday was not a reopening of the Strait relief rally. It was just an excuse to renew the GenAI momentum trade that has not been impacted negatively at all since the conflict began. I say this because the stocks that should have rallied with a deal and lower energy prices did not and if they did, barely.
For example, XRT, the equal weight retail ETF closed red yesterday. Walmart, Costco, Target, to name a few all closed down even though gasoline prices should continue to fall in the coming weeks. If there was one sector that I would have bet would have rallied, it would have been retail stocks. Airlines rallied with lower jet fuel prices but consumer staples/ product companies whose costs have gone up notably did not. ITB, the home builders etf, rose all of .1% even though they should get raw material price relief. Toy makers use a lot of plastic and any relief in the price of resins and petrochemicals would be welcome but Mattel traded down with just Hasbro up, by 1.3%.
Bond yields too didn’t react much with longer term yields little changed on the day. I could go on but you get the point, it was a weird trading day under the hood. READ MORE
De-Dollarization Continues as Central Banks See Rising Gold Demand -Watcher.Guru
by Vinod Dsouza
The latest report from the World Gold Council (WGC) sheds light on the fact that central banks will continue their de-dollarization process by accumulating more of the precious metal into their reserves and diversifying their holdings. The move indicates a gradual shift away from the US dollar, as gold is becoming an alternative investment.
Several developing countries have already made billions in profit, as the accumulation spree began in 2022. The Spot XAU/USD index has risen close to 140% since then, doubling its investments in five years. Holding the US dollar comes at a cost of rising national debt and inflation. De-dollarization of their reserves is the only option to safeguard their economy from being severely affected by America’s decisions.
The WGC’s survey involved officials from 76 banks, and 84% of the officials said that gold accumulation will keep increasing. Also, 74% of the respondents anticipate the share of the US dollar to decline in the central bank reserves. The development highlights that de-dollarization is rising, with the US dollar being given less importance over gold.
Apart from concerns about debt stability, emerging economies are also worried about the independence of the Federal Reserve. US President Donald Trump is embroiling the Federal Reserve in politics, removing its independent shield. Trump has also been an opponent of de-dollarization, warning countries of serious consequences if they ditch the US dollar.
“All those factors might be on the minds of central bankers as they think about the composition of the reserve assets going forward,” Shaokai Fan, global head of central banks and head of the Asia-Pacific at the World Gold Council, told Nikkei Asia. De-dollarization might enter full speed after Trump’s tenure comes to an end in January 2029. Their gold investment might have paid off further in the next three years. READ MORE
Central Banks Are Pulling Gold From the US and UK: Here’s Where It’s Heading -CCN
By Dr. Guneet Kaur / Edited by Ryan James
For decades, storing gold at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Bank of England was considered standard operating procedure for central banks worldwide.
The logic was simple: deep liquidity, trusted custody, and proximity to the global gold trading market. That logic is now being actively reconsidered by governments that previously had no reason to question it.
The shift began in emerging markets. Poland, Turkey, Nigeria, and Serbia have all moved substantial gold reserves back to domestic vaults in recent years. In July 2025, Serbia returned its entire gold stock, valued at roughly $6 billion, to domestic storage. The pattern has since spread to Western Europe, most prominently in France and, in political, if not yet operational, terms, in Germany.
The driving factor is explicit in the language central banks and their governments use. Physical gold held in a domestic vault cannot be frozen by executive order in Washington. READ MORE
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6.16.26 - Central Bank Gold Purchases Up 500%
Gold last traded at $4,341 an ounce. Silver at $70.33 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: Central banks have increased gold purchases by roughly 500% since 2022, signaling that some of the world’s largest financial players are continuing to move capital into hard assets rather than relying solely on traditional reserve holdings. The takeaway here is simple: when institutions with long investment horizons are aggressively accumulating, it reinforces the case that gold is being viewed as a strategic asset for preserving purchasing power and navigating economic uncertainty.
Central Bank Gold Purchases Have Increased 500% Since 2022! -King World News
Central bank gold purchases have increased a staggering 500% since 2022! In case anyone is wondering how the price of gold and silver corrected so aggressively in that environment, well, let’s just say the powers that be love to use psychological warfare against anyone invested in the gold sector. But at the end of the day, gold will always win.
Matthew Piepenburg, partner at VON GREYERZ: Gold. It began the year with galvanic headlines and endless coverage.
Now, midway through that same year, having lost more than 25% from its January high of $5600, many are wondering if peak gold is behind us in the wake of just another broken asset bubble.
Such concerns are understandable, even expected – especially during a shakeout.
Between 1971 and 1980, for example, when gold climbed from $35 to $850, many who loved it in 1980 had been shaken out in 1975 when gold’s paper price plummeted midway through an historical bull run.
As for those defending gold, especially from the desks of precious metal enterprises, they can often seem like apologists at best or salesmen at worst.
This too is understandable. This too is expected. READ MORE
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6.15.26 - The Instability of Inflation Policy
Gold last traded at $4,320 an ounce. Silver at $70.08 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: When describing economic forces nearing a breaking point, analysts tend to lean on the pressure cooker analogy: pressure builds quietly until something finally gives. This author uses a far spicier comparison, but the message remains the same; the buildup may be reaching its limit. Inflation is the pressure point and its bursting will have consequences investors can't afford to ignore.
The Inflation Sh*t Is Hitting The Fan
Submitted by QTR's Fringe Finance
This week was proof that the inflation story that markets desperately want to go away refuses to cooperate. It also adds to the case that new Fed chair Kevin Warsh could have his hands tied — and may ultimately need to redefine inflation to untie them.
This week the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported another really ugly wholesale inflation print, adding to a growing pile of evidence that inflation pressures are proving far more persistent than policymakers, economists, and investors had hoped.
The Producer Price Index rose 1.1% in May, well above economist expectations of 0.7%. On a year-over-year basis, wholesale inflation accelerated to 6.5%, the highest reading since November 2022.
Even though core PPI, which excludes food and energy, came in slightly below expectations at 0.4% versus estimates of 0.5%, that distinction shouldn’t provide much comfort. The headline figure remains extraordinarily elevated, and businesses are still dealing with rising costs that eventually work their way through supply chains and into consumer prices. READ MORE
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6.12.26 - Buffett's favorite market indicator is screaming sell
Gold last traded at $4,229 an ounce. Silver at $68.17 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: Warren Buffett may have stepped down recently, but the signals behind his investing philosophy are still impossible to ignore. And right now, they're not whispering, they're flashing warning signs that a market correction could be getting closer. This isn't a new concern; analysts and indicators have been raising red flags for some time. The question isn't who's sounding the alarm, it’s who's prepared if they turn out to be right.
Warren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator is screaming sell -Yahoo! Finance
by Brian Sozzi
It may be worthwhile to pay closer attention to OG investor Warren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator.
Because it's now flashing a major warning sign amid the AI stock frenzy.
The so-called Buffett Indicator stands at about 232.5% — up a sharp 13% from the March 30 lows, per data from GuruFocus. The indicator has never been higher, going back to the earliest GuruFocus data in 1970.
At current levels, the indicator is in the "significantly overvalued" zone — with stocks potentially on a collision course for modest negative returns over the next year.
The Buffett Indicator takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market) and divides it by the annual US GDP. It rose to fame following a 2001 Fortune magazine article written by Buffett and longtime Fortune writer and Buffett insider Carol Loomis. VIEW CHARTS AND READ MORE
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6.11.26 - Water, US Treasuries and the Dollar
Gold last traded at $4,212 an ounce. Silver at $67.36 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: What do water, U.S. Treasuries, and the dollar have in common? On the surface, it may seem like very little, yet all three share a troubling characteristic: growing concern that something could be fundamentally wrong.
The issue isn’t necessarily their current condition, but rather the long-standing problems beneath the surface that have continued to build over time. The question now is whether these challenges can still be fixed or if they have reached a point where the damage may be beyond repair.
Hopefully, that’s not the case. For now, all we can do is watch closely, and hope for the best.
The Ogallala Aquifer Is Dying – As The Largest Supply Of Groundwater In The United States Vanishes, Farmers Are Deeply Concerned About What Is Next -The Economic Collapse
Gigantic underground aquifers are being rapidly depleted all over the world, and once that water is gone it will take a very long time for it to come back. In fact, in some areas of the United States the recharge rate is less than an inch per year. That is a major problem, because more than half of the water that U.S. farmers use for irrigation comes from underground aquifers. What in the world are our farmers going to do once that water is gone?
The largest underground aquifer in the United States is known as the Ogallala Aquifer. It covers a vast area under portions of eight different states, and it accounts for approximately 30 percent of all groundwater that is used for irrigation in our nation…
The Ogallala Aquifer is a shallow water table aquifer surrounded by sand, silt, clay, and gravel located beneath the Great Plains in the United States. READ MORE
Treasury Market Is Telling Kevin Warsh Rates Need to Be Higher -Yahoo! Finance
by Michael MacKenzie and Greg Ritchie
(Bloomberg) -- The $31 trillion Treasury market has an unequivocal message for Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve: Interest rates aren’t high enough.
Yields on policy-sensitive US two-year notes have surged to their highest level in more than a year after a trove of economic data led traders to price in at least one quarter-point rate hike as soon as October. At around 4.15%, the two-year yield trades well above the Fed’s current policy band of 3.5% to 3.75%, a divergence that began in March.
The reset upwards only intensified last week after the latest read on job growth topped all forecasts, reinforcing a growing conviction that rates need to rise in order to rein in inflation pressures and temper the risk of an AI-induced boom overheating the economy. Reports due later this week on consumer and wholesale prices in May are expected to provide further validation of the narrative.
“Show me where rates are being restrictive,” said Jack McIntyre, portfolio manager at Brandywine Global Investment Management. “Treasury yields are going to be biased higher until something breaks.” READ MORE
Vladimir Putin Explains Why BRICS Is Moving Beyond the US Dollar -Watcher.Guru
by Vinod Dsouza
Speaking at the SPIEF plenary session in St. Petersburg, Russian President Vladimir Putin opened up on why BRICS is moving beyond the US dollar. He highlighted several reasons, including aggressive tactics from the West to maintain its financial hegemony. This is proving costly for the US and Europe, as developing countries have realized the dangers of keeping the US dollar in their reserves.
“All countries, without exception (BRICS), now understand that just as Russia can instantaneously lose access to their legitimate assets denominated in the US dollar or euro, they can also lose access to the Western financial and payment infrastructure,” Putin said. This is what makes holding the USD a risky affair, as it could become worthless during sanctions.
Putin stressed that to maintain an economic balance, payments in local currencies protect BRICS members, while the US dollar destroys it. This is the sole reason why alliance members are hesitant to settle payments in the US dollar. “They are transitioning to payments in national currencies. They are making wider use of alternative payment systems, increasing the role of digital financial assets as well as the digital currencies of their central banks,” he said. READ MORE
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6.10.26 - US Banks' Unrealized Losses Surge to $325,100,000,000
Gold last traded at $4,076 an ounce. Silver at $63.59 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: Since many investors rotated out of technology stocks and into bank stocks last week, the banking sector attracted renewed attention. Whether that proves to be a smart move remains to be seen. One factor worth watching is the large amount of unrealized losses still sitting on bank balance sheets; losses that total hundreds of billions of dollars and could become a significant concern if financial conditions deteriorate.
US Banks’ Unrealized Losses Surge to $325,100,000,000 Amid Rising Mortgage Rates: FDIC
by Mark Emem
Unrealized losses on the balance sheets of US banks rose in the first quarter of 2026, marking the first quarter-on-quarter increase since the fourth quarter of 2024.
According to the latest report on institutions under the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), US banks recorded a rise in unrealized losses of a little over six percent in the first quarter.
“Total unrealized losses increased $19.0 billion, or 6.2 percent, from the prior quarter to $325.1 billion. The 30-year mortgage rate remained relatively flat during the first two months of the quarter but rose in the month of March, decreasing the value of mortgage-backed securities reported by banks and increasing unrealized losses.”
Consequently, the FDIC says the elevated unrealized losses and weakness in certain loan portfolios “remain matters of ongoing supervisory attention.”
Amid the rise in the level of unrealized losses, the FDIC says that the number of financial institutions on the “Problem Bank List” fell in the first quarter.
“The number of banks on the list declined by a net of six in the first quarter to 54 banks. The number of problem banks was 1.3 percent of total banks, which is in the normal range of 1 to 2 percent for non-crisis periods. Three banks opened and one bank failed during the first quarter.” READ MORE
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6.9.26 - Half of US Dollar Purchasing Power Stolen
Gold last traded at $4,258 an ounce. Silver at $65.26 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: Did the economic damage from the lockdown era ever truly end? Is the U.S. economy weaker than official data suggests and eroding Americans' purchasing power far more than reported? This article argues that the recovery often touted, never really occurred. That's why investors are increasingly looking to protect their wealth with hard assets as hedges against inflation and currency debasement. The appeal of gold and silver is less about chasing returns and more about preserving purchasing power in an uncertain economic environment.
Since Lockdowns, a 12% GDP Loss; Half of US Dollar Purchasing Power Stolen -Brownstone Institute
by Jeffrey A Tucker
Many of us have had the intuition that the economic damage from 2020 – including industrial stoppages, monetary printing, supply-chain disruptions, extended school closures, and general population demoralization – was in fact far greater than official statistics indicate.
What follows will shore up this intuition, using new techniques and numbers from an innovative project called RealityIndex.co.
It’s true that official data is bad enough, showing a 26% loss in purchasing power, slow growth in output, and only marginal improvements in real income. The labor participation rate and worker/population ratio never fully recovered and continue to fall.
Output has been lackluster. It’s supposedly running 2.3% which is about half the postwar norm for US economic performance. It feels like a general downshift. Official data shows a brief recession in 2020 followed by gradual economic recovery overall.
But is this even true? In 2024, Brownstone Institute commissioned a study (by E.J. Antoni and Peter St. Onge) that concluded that we have never really entered recovery after 2022. We’ve been in a technical recession since that time. They got this with some limited adjustments of price data bumped up against output data. That study was met with brutal attacks, with every critic falling back on official data and doubting the supposed extremism of the conclusion. READ MORE
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6.8.26 - Past the Point of No Return
Gold last traded at $4,342 an ounce. Silver at $68.54 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: History shows that economic collapses rarely announce their arrival. More often, they strike suddenly like a thief in the night; catching governments, businesses, and ordinary citizens off guard. But if a major economic reckoning is headed for the United States, could this one unfold differently?
Could we be watching the collapse take shape in real time rather than being blindsided by it? According to this author, the evidence is already in plain sight. The cracks in the economy may be far more visible than most people realize.
Past the Point of No Return: The Economic Collapse Is Happening! -The Daily Doom
by David Haggith
Large cracks showed up everywhere today, and a far worse landslide is already a done deal for late June, according to oil companies, due to critical oil shortages that can no longer be escaped.
While the Dow soared a huge 900 points to another all-time high today, it didn’t do it for the usual reason. Money actually fled tech and moved into bank stocks and other more mundane or maybe safer investments. This looks like the start of a rotation, which happened orderly today, but rotations sometimes indicate people fleeing the longtime market leaders, and that can quickly go disorderly once momentum builds.
To give you a sense of today’s rockslide, one chipmaker—Broadcom—caved in more than 12% on a revenue miss today. Micron Technology tumbled more than 8%. Semiconductor names slid broadly. These were big moves.
“After an astonishing earnings season, the AI trade is still alive and well, but this rally is getting tired after an incredible more than two-month surge,” said Dennis Follmer, chief investment officer at Montis Financial...
Thursday’s moves “suggest the early innings of a rotation and it’s also a reminder that not all AI stocks are the same and there are different expectations built into each stock,” he added.
And that was exactly how the dot-com bust began. First, people thought tech couldn’t fall, but then the many companies that had bad earnings reports took some big dives. Eventually many of those got wiped out entirely. Then everything started to slide over the course of more than a year—almost two years. Even those that survived took years to recover from the massive rotation that picked up steam as investors woke up to realize they could not keep rewarding earnings non-performance forever. READ MORE
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6.5.26 - Is The US Stock Market Set For A Historic Crash?
Gold last traded at $4,320 an ounce. Silver at $68.17 an ounce.
EDITOR'S NOTE: A small group of large technology stocks is driving much of the stock market's recent gains, while institutional investors appear to be shifting money into cash and bonds as a defensive move. If interest rates or bond yields rise sharply, those high-growth stocks could fall hard and trigger a broader market decline.
For stock investors, this is essentially a warning that portfolios heavily concentrated in major tech names may face elevated downside risk if the market corrects. For gold and silver investors, the implication is the opposite: a stock-market crash, economic uncertainty, or renewed monetary stimulus could increase demand for gold and silver as safe-haven assets.
The US Stock Market Is Set For A Historic Crash -King World News
Gregory Mannarino, writing for the Trends Journal:
A “split” is developing in the markets across the board.
MAJOR KEY POINTS.
1. Record highs are the price.
2. “Smart Money” de-risking positioning IS RISING.
3. The contradiction is the warning.
Let’s break this down.
With stocks at record highs, major institutional money is positioning for a major “de-risking event” through cash, bonds, sector rotation, hedges, and selective exposure… rather than broad risk appetite. READ MORE
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