Gold and Silver continued their rise on global economic jitters. Gold continued as the investment of choice for safe haven assets. US economic data has many investors concerned about the slow recovery and worried about global instability.
By Claudia Assis and Virginia Harrison
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Gold futures gained Monday, as jitters about the strength of the global recovery supported buying in the traditional safe-haven asset.
Gold for August delivery GC1Q +0.65% , the most active contract, gained $12.10, or 0.8%, to $1,554.70 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
“Weak U.S. economic data last week are strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain key interest rates at the current very low level for even longer, which will keep the opportunity costs for precious metals low,” analysts at Commerzbank said in a note to clients Monday.
Gold closed out last week higher. A weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report on Friday encouraged buying in the metal on worries about an extended economic slowdown.
Silver for July delivery SI1N +2.22% tracked gold higher in Monday’s metals trading, rallying 93 cents, or 2.6%, to $37.11 an ounce.
Sunday elections in Peru, a top exporter of gold, silver and other metals such as copper, zinc, and tin, point to the victory of Ollanta Humala.
Humala “advocates greater state control of natural resources,” so traders will be “extra watchful,“ said George Gero, vice president at RBC Wealth Management, in e-mailed comments.
Humala has tried to distance himself from Venezuelan leftist leader Hugo Chavez, choosing to model himself after Brazil’s left-leaning former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, analysts at RBC wrote in a separate report.
“Despite his attempts to moderate his image, we believe there is still a significant amount of uncertainty” regarding Humala, they wrote.
His first test will be ongoing conflict between mining companies and farmers in southern Peru, where farmers are demanding revoking mining concessions.
The broader metals complex also traded higher.
Copper for July delivery HG1N +0.18% put on 1 cent, or 0.3%, to $4.15 a pound.
Copper is used extensively in wiring and construction, and analysts at Barclays Capital said the market has been dominated this year “by the degree and nature of softness in Chinese demand.” See Caixin report on major changes to China’s manufacturing sector.
“It is likely that as soon as Chinese import levels rise in the third quarter, and this feeds on a decline in LME stock levels, the overall fundamental architecture will be in place and convincing enough for copper prices to push to yet new record highs,” the analysts said.
Claudia Assis is a San Francisco-based reporter for MarketWatch. Virginia Harrison is a MarketWatch reporter based in Sydney.
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